Boston Celtics and Abra Weavers headline 4 games on Monday

NBA action starts at 7:00 AM PHT in Detroit, with 3 games in the morning. The day closes at 6:30 PM PHT, when Abra Weavers and San Juan Knights meet in the MPBL semi-finals. Each of the 4 games has a clear pick from the model.

The model's strongest call is Boston Celtics, at 84 percent. The closest game is Detroit Pistons against Los Angeles Lakers, where the model gives Detroit a 61 percent chance. Both NBA sides in that game have winning records this season, so expect a close scoreboard.

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Detroit Pistons open the day against Los Angeles Lakers

The model gives Detroit Pistons a 61 percent chance and calls it a fair edge rather than a strong one. Detroit have won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 109.8 points per game over their last 10. They have won 9 of 12 games in this competition.

Los Angeles Lakers arrive with 4 wins from their last 5, and an average winning margin of 5.8 points. The Lakers sit second in the Western Conference, while Detroit are third in the Eastern Conference. Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers pick has the full breakdown.

Detroit won both of their last 2 meetings, 113-110 and 128-106. Rest is uneven, with Detroit on 4 days and the Lakers on 2 days before tip-off. The Lakers are on the first game of a 4-game trip.

84%Model chance that Boston Celtics beat Milwaukee Bucks

Boston Celtics face a struggling Milwaukee Bucks side

Boston Celtics are the model's strongest pick of the day, at 84 percent. The model expects a winning margin of 10.2 points for Boston. Boston have won 11 of 13 games in this competition.

Milwaukee have lost their last 5 games, with an average losing margin of 18.0 points. The Bucks have won 3 of 14 games in this competition and sit 15th in the Eastern Conference table. Boston sit second in the same group on 7 wins and 2 losses.

Boston have won 4 straight meetings, the latest 109-102 on 5 Nov 2026. Both sides are on 2 days of rest. Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics match page shows the live score.

The model picks Miami Heat over Sacramento Kings

The model gives Miami Heat a 66 percent chance, with an expected winning margin of 4.2 points. That is a strong pick, though Sacramento Kings still have a 34 percent chance. Miami have won 6 of 14 games in this competition, while Sacramento have won 1 of 14.

Sacramento have lost 4 of their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. Miami have won 3 of their last 5, with an average margin of -1.6. Miami sit 9th in the Eastern Conference, and Sacramento are 15th in the Western Conference.

Miami won the most recent meeting 130-117 on 21 Jan 2026, while Sacramento won 127-111 on 7 Dec 2025. Miami have 3 days of rest, against 2 for Sacramento. Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat pick has the full pick.

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Abra Weavers meet San Juan Knights in the MPBL semi-finals

Abra Weavers are the model's pick at 72 percent, with a clear edge. Abra Weavers have won their last 5 games and hold a 29-2 record in this competition.

San Juan Knights have won 4 of their last 5 and sit second in the North Division on 24 wins and 3 losses. Abra Weavers top the table on 24 wins and 2 losses. The model expects a winning margin of 5.9 points for Abra Weavers.

The two sides met in their last 2 games, with San Juan Knights winning 66-58 on 2 May 2026 and Abra Weavers winning 59-58 on 7 Nov 2026. Both teams have 2 days of rest. Abra Weavers vs San Juan Knights pick is ready to check.

All the picks together

Taken together, the model gives all 4 picks a 25% chance of winning on the day. See all NBA picks on the NBA predictions page.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)