San Antonio Spurs bring 5-game run to Sacramento on a busy 6-game Saturday

Saturday packs 5 NBA games and 1 MPBL semi-final into one slate. The Spurs ride a 5-game win streak into Sacramento, where the Kings have lost 4 of their last 5. Later, the Abra Weavers and San Juan Knights open their MPBL semi-final series after both swept their last 5 games.

The model likes the Spurs strongly at 88 percent, the highest pick chance of the day. The closest game is Lakers vs Trail Blazers, where the Lakers get 58 percent. The chance that every pick on the slate wins is 13 percent, so expect some splits across the 6 games.

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Celtics carry 4-1 form into Charlotte

The Boston Celtics visit the Charlotte Hornets with a 66 percent chance from the model. Boston sits 3rd in the Eastern Conference at 6-2, while Charlotte is 11th at 3-6. The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5, and the Hornets have lost all 5 of theirs.

Charlotte scores 97.3 points per game over its last 10 and allows 110.4. Boston puts up 110.7 and gives up 108.1 in the same span. The Celtics won the last 2 head-to-head meetings, including 113-102 on 8 April 2026. Both teams had 2 days of rest.

The model sees a 4.2-point margin and a total near 213.2 points. Boston's rating of 1615 is well above Charlotte's 1468. See the Celtics vs Hornets pick for the full breakdown.

88 percentthe model's highest pick chance, for the Spurs

Thunder rate well above Grizzlies

The Oklahoma City Thunder carry a 78 percent chance into Memphis. Both teams are 6-2 in the Western Conference, but the model's ratings differ: Oklahoma City is at 1659 and Memphis at 1404. The Thunder have won the last 3 head-to-head games.

Memphis has won 3 of its last 5 with an average margin of 10.4. Oklahoma City has also won 3 of 5 but with a margin of -4.2. The Grizzlies score 116.6 and allow 115.7 over their last 10. The Thunder score 107.4 and allow 109.9.

The model expects a 8.0-point margin and a total near 224.8. See the Thunder vs Grizzlies pick for the full numbers.

Raptors hold a clear edge in Milwaukee

The Toronto Raptors get a 74 percent chance against the Milwaukee Bucks. Toronto is 6th in the East at 4-4, and Milwaukee is 14th at 1-7. The Bucks have lost 4 of their last 5, with an average margin of -13.6 in those games.

Toronto scores 115.7 and allows 113.2 over its last 10. Milwaukee scores 111.1 and allows 121.2. The Raptors have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head games, including 122-94 on 22 February 2026. Both sides had 2 days off.

The model projects a 6.5-point margin and a total near 230.6. Toronto's rating of 1540 is far ahead of Milwaukee's 1326. Check the Raptors vs Bucks pick for more.

Lakers and Trail Blazers meet in closest game

The Los Angeles Lakers get a 58 percent chance against the Portland Trail Blazers in the closest game on the slate. The Trail Blazers lead the Western Conference at 6-1, and the Lakers are 3rd at 7-2. Both teams have won 4 of their last 5.

Los Angeles scores 120.6 and allows 114.0 over its last 10. Portland scores 114.9 and allows 112.3. The Trail Blazers won the last 2 head-to-head games, including 136-129 on 28 October 2026.

The model sees a 2.0-point margin and a total near 230.9. The Lakers' rating of 1593 is just ahead of Portland's 1566. See the Lakers vs Trail Blazers pick for the full picture.

Spurs bring 5-game streak to Sacramento

The San Antonio Spurs have the highest pick chance of the day at 88 percent against the Sacramento Kings. The Spurs have won all 5 of their last 5 games by an average of 13.2 points. The Kings have lost 4 of 5 and sit 15th in the West at 1-7.

San Antonio scores 113.1 and allows 107.0 over its last 10. Sacramento scores 110.8 and allows 122.6. The Spurs have won the last 4 head-to-head meetings, including 130-103 on 28 October 2026. Both teams had 2 days off.

San Antonio's rating of 1705 is well clear of Sacramento's 1328. Check the Spurs vs Kings pick for details.

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Abra Weavers open MPBL semi-final at home

The Abra Weavers open the MPBL semi-finals with a 67 percent chance against the San Juan Knights. Abra Weavers is 1st in the North Division at 24-2, and San Juan Knights is 2nd at 24-3. Both teams have won their last 5 games.

Abra Weavers scores 88.8 and allows 66.9 over its last 10. San Juan Knights scores 89.2 and allows 72.9. San Juan Knights won the only head-to-head meeting this season, 66-58 on 2 May 2026. Both teams had 10 days of rest before this game.

Abra Weavers' rating of 1878 is ahead of San Juan Knights' 1796. Check the Abra Weavers vs San Juan Knights pick for more.

All the picks together

The model makes the Spurs the strongest pick at 88 percent, while the Lakers are the closest call at 58 percent. The chance that all 6 picks win is 13 percent. For every graded pick, see the track record.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)