Basketball · NBA & MPBL · Preview
Knicks and Spurs carry big edges on a 7-game Thursday slate
6 NBA games and 1 MPBL semi-final fill Thursday. The model sees two strong spots and one close call in the MPBL.
Kuya Datos · AI sports desk
AI-written from match data · AI pick · model estimate, not a person · How this story was made
Thursday brings 6 NBA games and 1 MPBL semi-final. The model gives the Knicks the biggest chance of the day at 90 percent against the Bulls. The Spurs follow at 85 percent against the Mavericks. The MPBL game between Quezon Huskers and Binan Tatak Gel is the closest on the card.
The Knicks and Bulls meet at Madison Square Garden. Boston hosts Milwaukee, Oklahoma City welcomes Cleveland, and San Antonio faces Dallas. The Lakers are on the road at Sacramento, while the Clippers host Miami. In the MPBL, Quezon Huskers and Binan Tatak Gel meet in the semi-finals at 6:00 PM PHT.
NBANBA6 games
Celtics at 86 percent against the Bucks
Boston gets an 86 percent chance from the model against Milwaukee. The expected winning margin is 11.2 points. The Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 and have won all 6 of their NBA games at TD Garden this season. Milwaukee is 1-4 in its last 5 and allows 124.0 points per game over its last 10.
Boston is 3rd in the Eastern Conference at 5-2. Milwaukee is 14th at 1-6. The Celtics have won the last 3 head-to-head meetings, including a 133-101 result on 4 Apr 2026. Both teams had 2 rest days.
The model tags this as a strong pick, but still not a sure thing. Check the Celtics vs Bucks pick for more detail.
90 percentThe model's chance for the Knicks, the highest on the slate
Knicks hold a 90 percent chance against the Bulls
The model gives New York a 90 percent chance to beat Chicago. The expected margin is 13.8 points. The Knicks are 3-2 in their last 5 games, while the Bulls have lost all 5 of their last 5. Chicago allows 128.6 points per game over its last 10, the most on the slate.
New York sits 8th in the Eastern Conference at 3-4. Chicago is 15th at 1-6. The Knicks have won the last 4 meetings between the teams, including a 133-127 result on 29 Oct 2026. Both teams had 2 rest days before tip-off.
The model calls this a strong pick, but still not a sure thing. See the Knicks vs Bulls pick for the full breakdown.
Thunder get a 65 percent edge over the Cavaliers
Thunder6-6
Oklahoma City has a 65 percent chance to beat Cleveland, per the model. The Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 but have a -4.4 average margin in those games. Cleveland is also 3-2 in its last 5 with a +5.8 average margin.
Oklahoma City is 6th in the Western Conference at 5-2. Cleveland is 5th in the Eastern Conference at 4-3. The Thunder have won the last 3 meetings, including a 117-112 result on 3 Nov 2026.
The model calls this a fair edge. See the Thunder vs Cavaliers pick for the full numbers.
Spurs ride a 5-game run into Dallas game
Spurs7-5
San Antonio gets an 85 percent chance from the model against Dallas. The Spurs have won all 5 of their last 5 games with a +16.2 average margin. The Mavericks are 3-2 in their last 5 with a +0.4 average margin.
San Antonio is 5th in the Western Conference at 5-2. Dallas is 9th at 4-3. The Spurs have won the last 5 head-to-head meetings, including a 122-106 result on 25 Oct 2026.
The model labels this a strong pick, but still not a sure thing. See the Spurs vs Mavericks pick for the full breakdown.
Lakers hold a 78 percent chance at Sacramento
Kings1-11
Los Angeles gets a 78 percent chance from the model against Sacramento. The Lakers are 3-2 in their last 5 and score 119.8 points per game over their last 10. The Kings are 1-4 in their last 5 and allow 122.0 points per game over their last 10.
Los Angeles is 4th in the Western Conference at 6-2. Sacramento is 15th at 1-6. The teams have split their last 4 meetings. The Lakers won 128-104 on 2 Mar 2026, while the Kings won 124-112 on 13 Jan 2026.
The model calls this a clear edge. Check the Kings vs Lakers pick for more.
Heat get a slight 56 percent nod over the Clippers
Clippers3-7
Miami gets a 56 percent chance from the model against the Clippers. The expected margin is just 0.4 points. The Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 with a +0.4 average margin. The Clippers have lost all 5 of their last 5 with a -13.6 average margin.
Miami is 10th in the Eastern Conference at 2-5. The Heat have won both head-to-head meetings, including a 140-123 result on 2 Dec 2025.
See the Clippers vs Heat pick for the full picture.
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | Miami Heat 140-123 Los Angeles Clippers |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Miami Heat 120-119 Los Angeles Clippers |
MPBLMPBL1 game
MPBL semi-final is a close call for Binan Tatak Gel
Quezon Huskers27-6
Binan Tatak Gel gets a 54 percent chance from the model against Quezon Huskers. This is a close call, only a slight lean, close to a coin flip. Binan Tatak Gel has won all 5 of its last 5 games with a +9.4 average margin. Quezon Huskers are 3-2 in their last 5.
Quezon Huskers are 1st in the South Division at 23-4. Binan Tatak Gel are 2nd at 21-4. Binan Tatak Gel won the most recent meeting 83-74 on 3 Nov 2026.
The model puts this in the Lean tier. See the Quezon Huskers vs Binan Tatak Gel pick for the full numbers.
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Binan Tatak Gel 83-74 Quezon Huskers |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Quezon Huskers 66-59 Binan Tatak Gel |
All the picks together
The model has 5 strong picks and 1 pick on Thursday. The Knicks lead the way at 90 percent, followed by the Spurs at 85 percent and the Celtics at 86 percent. The MPBL semi-final is a Lean pick, so treat it as a close call. For every graded pick, see the track record.
