Knicks and Heat lead a 5-game NBA and MPBL card on Wednesday

Wednesday packs 4 NBA games and 1 MPBL semi-final into one card, with the first tip-off at 8:30 AM PHT. The Knicks and Heat carry the model's strongest picks, while the Celtics and 76ers game is a near coin flip. Each section below covers one game, with form, head-to-head results and rest.

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Knicks aim to extend a strong run

The model gives the Knicks a 92% chance against the Bucks, its highest pick chance on the day. New York sits 5th in the Eastern Conference with 5 wins from 9 games. Milwaukee is 15th of 15 and has lost its last 5, with an average margin of -15.6 points.

New York has won 4 of its last 5 and averages 108.3 points over its last 10 games. The Knicks have 3 days of rest and are on game 1 of a 2-game home stand. The model expects a winning margin of 15.1 points and a total near 220.5.

New York won the last 2 meetings, 127-98 in February and 118-109 in November 2025. Check the New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks pick for the full breakdown.

14%chance the model gives all 5 picks to land together

Celtics and 76ers in a near coin flip

This is the model's one close call of the day. It gives the Celtics a 54% chance and the 76ers 46%, with an expected winning margin of just 1.0 points. Philadelphia is 1st in the Eastern Conference and Boston is 2nd.

Boston has won 4 of its last 5 and is on game 3 of a 4-game road trip with 2 days of rest. Philadelphia has won 4 of its last 5 too, and sits at 9-2 in the table. Both sides are playing without any extra rest edge.

Philadelphia won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the two most recent, 109-100 and 106-93. See the Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics match page for the live score.

Heat look to exploit a Jazz slump

The model gives the Heat a 72% chance against the Jazz, a clear edge. Utah has lost its last 5 and sits 14th in the Western Conference with 1 win from 10 games. Miami is 8th in the Eastern Conference with 3 wins in its last 5.

Utah is averaging 106.2 points over its last 10 and allowing 117.9. Miami is scoring 115.8 and allowing 121.1, so both defenses have leaked points. Miami is on game 5 of a 5-game road trip, with 2 days of rest.

Utah won the most recent meeting 115-111 in February, after Miami won 147-116 in January. The model expects a 5.9 point margin and a total of 230.5. Read the Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat pick for the full reasoning.

Thunder hold the model's edge in Portland

The model gives the Thunder a 64% chance against Portland, a fair edge with an expected margin of 3.6 points. Oklahoma City is 3rd in the Western Conference with 8 wins from 10 games. Portland is 8th with 6 wins from 9.

The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 and average a margin of 12.4 points over that span. Portland's margin is 3.0 over the same games. Oklahoma City is on game 1 of a 4-game road trip, and both sides have 3 days of rest.

Oklahoma City has won the last 3 meetings, most recently 124-95 on 1 January 2026. The model's total for the game is 223.6 points. Check the Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder match page for the live score.

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Quezon Huskers and Binan Tatak Gel meet in the semi-final

This MPBL semi-final pits the South Division's top two sides. Quezon Huskers are 1st with 23 wins from 27, and Binan Tatak Gel are 2nd with 21 wins from 25. The model gives Quezon Huskers a 60% chance, a pick rather than a strong one.

Both sides have won 4 of their last 5. Quezon Huskers average 85.6 points over their last 10, while Binan Tatak Gel score 82.6. The model expects a winning margin of 2.4 points and a total of 154.2 points, with both teams on 6 days of rest.

The two sides split their last 2 meetings. Binan Tatak Gel won 83-74 on 3 Nov, and Quezon Huskers won 74-54 on 5 Nov 2026. The venue has not been announced yet. Check the Binan Tatak Gel vs Quezon Huskers pick for details.

All the picks together

Taken together, the model gives all 5 picks a 14% chance to land. Treat that as a reason to read each game closely, not as a reason to act on it.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)