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Ginebra and San Miguel open a busy Tuesday of PBA and NBA action
A tight PBA quarter-final headlines Tuesday, with 5 NBA games following from morning to midday. The model sees a close call in the PBA and a few clearer edges in the NBA.
Kuya Datos · AI sports desk
AI-written from match data · AI pick · model estimate, not a person · How this story was made
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 brings 6 games across 2 leagues. The PBA Governors' Cup quarter-finals take the spotlight at 7:30 PM PHT, with Ginebra and San Miguel meeting in a series that has been tight all year. Earlier in the day, 5 NBA games run from 8:00 AM to 11:00 AM PHT.
The model likes San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors as its strongest picks on the slate. The PBA game is a lean, with Ginebra given a 53% chance. The model also gives a 6% chance that all 6 picks win.
NBANBA5 games
Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks: another close call
The model gives Los Angeles Lakers a 54% chance against Atlanta Hawks, another lean that is close to a coin flip. The Los Angeles Lakers' team rating is 1600, while Atlanta's is 1540. The expected margin is 1.1 points.
The Los Angeles Lakers score 122.0 points per game over their last 10 and allow 114.3. Atlanta scores 117.3 and allows 114.5. The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-2 and sit 1st in the Western Conference. Atlanta is 7-4 and 4th in the Eastern Conference.
The Los Angeles Lakers are on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and are 2-1 in such games this season. Atlanta is on game 3 of a 3-game home stand. The Los Angeles Lakers won the last meeting 141-116 on 14 Jan 2026. Check the live match page for updates.
76%San Antonio Spurs' win chance, the highest on the slate
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers: Dallas gets a fair edge
The model gives Dallas Mavericks a 68% chance against Indiana Pacers, a fair edge. Dallas has a team rating of 1442, well above Indiana's 1340.
Dallas has won 3 of their last 5 games and scores 115.8 points per game over their last 10. Indiana has lost 4 of their last 5 and scores 110.3 in the same span. Dallas is 6-4 and 10th in the Western Conference. Indiana is 3-7 and 10th in the Eastern Conference.
Dallas is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and is 0-1 in such games this season. Indiana had 2 days of rest. Dallas has won the last 3 meetings, including 121-105 on 23 Oct 2026. See the full Dallas vs Indiana pick for the model's full breakdown.
Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets: Houston favored
Rockets9-4
The model gives Houston Rockets a 60% chance against Denver Nuggets, a fair edge. Houston's team rating is 1620, above Denver's 1580.
Houston has won 2 of their last 5 games and scores 116.0 points per game over their last 10. Denver has won 4 of their last 5 and scores 114.5 in the same span. Houston is 7-3 and 5th in the Western Conference. Denver is 5-3 and 9th.
Denver has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, including 129-93 on 12 Mar 2026. Houston won the other meeting 115-101 on 20 Dec 2025. Check the live match page for scores.
San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns: San Antonio a strong pick
Suns4-9
The model gives San Antonio Spurs a 76% chance against Phoenix Suns, a clear edge. San Antonio's team rating is 1721, far above Phoenix's 1488.
San Antonio has won all of their last 5 games and scores 118.4 points per game over their last 10. Phoenix has lost 3 of their last 5 and allows 120.1 in the same span. San Antonio is 8-2 and 2nd in the Western Conference. Phoenix is 3-5 and 12th.
San Antonio has won the last 2 meetings, including 101-100 on 20 Mar 2026. Phoenix won the 2 before that. See the full San Antonio vs Phoenix pick for more on this strong pick.
Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans: Golden State on a run
Warriors11-5
The model gives Golden State Warriors a 65% chance against New Orleans Pelicans, a fair edge. Golden State's team rating is 1526, above New Orleans's 1447.
Golden State has won all of their last 5 games and scores 118.6 points per game over their last 10. New Orleans has won 4 of their last 5 and scores 120.8 in the same span. Golden State is 7-3 and 6th in the Western Conference. New Orleans is 4-5 and 11th.
New Orleans is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and is 1-1 in such games this season. Golden State had 2 days of rest. New Orleans won the last meeting 113-109 on 25 Feb 2026.
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | New Orleans Pelicans 113-109 Golden State Warriors |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Golden State Warriors 104-96 New Orleans Pelicans |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Golden State Warriors 124-106 New Orleans Pelicans |
PBAPBA Governors' Cup1 game
Ginebra vs San Miguel: a lean in a tight quarter-final
Ginebra7-7
The model gives Barangay Ginebra San Miguel a 53% chance against San Miguel Beermen, a close call that is close to a coin flip. Ginebra's team rating is 1622, just above San Miguel's 1598. The expected winning margin is 0.9 points, so expect a tight finish.
Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 games. Ginebra scores 102.0 points per game over their last 10 and allows 99.6. San Miguel scores 117.1 and allows 109.0 in the same span. In the Governors' Cup, San Miguel is 11-5 and Ginebra is 7-7.
San Miguel has won the last 2 meetings, 108-102 on 6 Nov 2026 and 101-98 on 3 Nov 2026. Ginebra won the 2 before that. Both teams had 4 days of rest. See the full Ginebra vs San Miguel pick for more on this close call.
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026 | San Miguel Beermen 108-102 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 3 Nov 2026 | San Miguel Beermen 101-98 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 126-99 San Miguel Beermen |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 104-95 San Miguel Beermen |
| 5 Apr 2026 | San Miguel Beermen 85-82 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
All the picks together
The model gives a 6% chance that all 6 picks win on Tuesday. The PBA game and the Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks game are close calls, while San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors carry the clearest edges. See the track record for how the model has done.
