Team Liquid PH meet Aurora Gaming PH in the MPL PH lower bracket final

The MPL PH Season 18 playoffs reach a lower bracket final on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Aurora Gaming PH and Team Liquid PH meet at 5:00 PM PHT in a best of 7 series. The first team to 4 game wins takes the series. Both sides played a series on 23 Oct 2026, so the turnaround is quick.

This is the only game on the card, so the whole day rests on this series. The model rates Team Liquid PH higher, with a series chance of 71%. Aurora Gaming PH has a 29% chance and sits 2nd in the table. That is a clear edge, but the model still sees a real path for Aurora Gaming PH.

Team Liquid PH favoured, Aurora Gaming PH in form

The model gives Team Liquid PH a 71% chance to win the series and 60% for each set. Its team rating is 1701, against 1629 for Aurora Gaming PH. Both ratings rest on a lot of past series, so the numbers are well settled. That gap is the main reason for the pick, and the model calls it a strong pick.

Both teams have won 4 of their last 5 series, all from the last 3 weeks. Aurora Gaming PH has won 12 sets and lost 8 in those series. Team Liquid PH has won 10 sets and lost 4, which is the cleaner record. Both teams last played a series on 23 Oct 2026.

Aurora Gaming PH won the last meeting 3-1 on 22 Oct 2026. It also won 19 Sep 2026 by 2-0. Team Liquid PH took the 3 earlier meetings, including 29 Aug 2026 and 24 Apr 2026 by 2-0 each. In this event, Aurora Gaming PH is 2nd of 6 with 2 series wins, while Team Liquid PH is 4th with 1. Read the Aurora Gaming PH vs Team Liquid PH pick or the Aurora Gaming PH vs Team Liquid PH match page.

71%model series chance for Team Liquid PH in this lower bracket final