Team Falcons PH and Team Liquid PH open MPL PH playoff semifinals

Thursday brings two Upper Bracket Semifinals in MPL PH Season 18, both best of 5 series. The first series sees Team Falcons PH face ONIC PH at 3:00 PM PHT. The later match at 7:00 PM PHT pits Team Liquid PH against Aurora Gaming PH. Each series goes to the team that wins 3 games first.

The model rates both favorites as Strong picks, though neither series is settled. It gives Team Falcons PH a 68 percent chance and Team Liquid PH a 75 percent chance to take their series. Both ratings rest on a long record of past series, so the numbers are steady.

Team Falcons PH open against ONIC PH

The model gives Team Falcons PH a 68 percent chance to win the series. Its single game chance is 60 percent, which the model calls a fair edge. Team Falcons PH is rated 1669, while ONIC PH sits at 1599. See the Team Falcons PH vs ONIC PH pick for the full numbers.

Recent form is close. Team Falcons PH won 4 of its last 5 series and took 9 games while losing 4. ONIC PH won 3 of 5 and took 8 games while losing 7. ONIC PH last played on 21 Oct 2026, one day before this match.

Team Falcons PH has won 4 of the last 5 meetings. The latest one went to Team Falcons PH 2-1 on 26 Sep 2026. ONIC PH's only win in that stretch was a 3-0 sweep on 28 May 2026. No table exists yet for this stage. Check the Team Falcons PH vs ONIC PH match page for the live score.

10 game winsTeam Liquid PH's total across its last 5 series, with only 1 game lost

Team Liquid PH face Aurora Gaming PH in the second semifinal

The model gives Team Liquid PH a 75 percent chance to win the series. Its single game chance is 64 percent, a clear edge in the model's view. Team Liquid PH is rated 1717, while Aurora Gaming PH sits at 1618.

Team Liquid PH has won all 5 of its last series and taken 10 games while dropping only 1. Aurora Gaming PH won 4 of 5 but lost 7 games in those series. Aurora Gaming PH last played on 21 Oct 2026, one day before this match.

The head to head is more even than the form. Team Liquid PH has won 3 of the last 5 meetings. The latest meeting went to Aurora Gaming PH 2-0 on 19 Sep 2026. Team Liquid PH's most recent win came 2-0 on 29 Aug 2026. Check the Team Liquid PH vs Aurora Gaming PH match page for updates.

All the picks together

Both picks sit in the Strong pick tier. Team Liquid PH carries the bigger series chance at 75 percent, against 68 percent for Team Falcons PH. The Team Falcons PH series is the closer of the two on the model's numbers. Read each pick before its 24 hour cutoff. The MLBB predictions page lists every MLBB pick, and the how the model works page explains the method.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)