Rain or Shine and Terrafirma carry the model's picks into a PBA Governors' Cup Saturday

Saturday brings 2 PBA Governors' Cup games in Metro Manila, and the records heading in are very different. Titan Ultra Giant Risers and Terrafirma Dyip open the day at 5:15 PM. Blackwater Bossing meets Rain or Shine Elasto Painters at 7:30 PM. The model's edge is clearer in the later game.

Rain or Shine sits in position 2 of Group B with a 4-3 record. Titan Ultra is position 7 of 7 in Group A after losing 9 of its 11 games. Terrafirma is position 5 in its group, and Blackwater is position 6 of 6 in Group B at 3-5. Rain or Shine is the only team in play with a winning record.

Terrafirma favored at 64% against a struggling Titan Ultra

The model gives Terrafirma Dyip a 64% chance and expects a winning margin of 3.6 points. Titan Ultra Giant Risers have the lower rating, 1278 against 1379. The model's expected total is 227.4 points, and it rates the edge as fair.

Form points the same way. Titan Ultra has won 1 of its last 5 games and lost by 25.0 points on average. It has allowed 128.6 points a game over its last 10. Terrafirma is 2-3 over the same span, allowing 112.4 points a game.

Head to head, Terrafirma has won 2 of the last 3 meetings, including a 112-82 win in March. Both teams had 3 days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back. See the Titan Ultra Giant Risers vs Terrafirma Dyip match page for the live score.

70%model's chance for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters, the day's highest pick

Rain or Shine favored at 70% after a 4-1 run

The model gives Rain or Shine Elasto Painters a 70% chance, the highest pick of the day. The expected winning margin is 5.4 points, with a total near 212.7 points. The model rates this as a clear edge.

Rain or Shine has won 4 of its last 5 games, with an average margin of 0.6 points. Blackwater is 1-4 in that span and has averaged a loss of 8.8 points. Blackwater has scored 104.9 points a game over its last 10.

Rest favors Rain or Shine, with 8 days before tip off against Blackwater's 4. The teams split their last 2 meetings: Blackwater won 131-108 in July, while Rain or Shine won 151-95 in March. Check the Blackwater Bossing vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters pick for the full breakdown.

All the picks together

Taken together, the model gives both picks a 45% chance of all winning. Each game will turn on its own details, so read each one separately. Read the track record for every graded pick.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)