NLEX Road Warriors and TNT Tropang 5G lead the PBA Governors' Cup slate

Group A action continues on Wednesday, 7 October 2026 with 2 games in the PBA Governors' Cup. NLEX Road Warriors sit at the top of the group with 7 wins and 2 losses. Macau Black Bears are at 6th with 2 wins and 6 losses. TNT Tropang 5G are 4th at 4 wins and 4 losses, while Terrafirma Dyip are 5th at 3 wins and 5 losses.

The model gives NLEX Road Warriors an 81% chance to beat Macau Black Bears, the biggest edge on the day. TNT Tropang 5G get a 72% chance against Terrafirma Dyip. Both are Strong picks. The chance that both picks win is 58%. For all PBA picks, see PBA predictions.

NLEX Road Warriors vs Macau Black Bears

NLEX Road Warriors carry a 7-2 record in the PBA Governors' Cup. They score 111.6 points per game and allow 99.8. Macau Black Bears are 2-6, scoring 105.8 and allowing 121.6. The model gives NLEX Road Warriors an 81% win chance. The expected total is 217.0 points and the expected margin is 8.9 points.

In their last 5 games, NLEX Road Warriors are 3-2 with an average margin of 3.4 points. Macau Black Bears are 2-3 with an average margin of -9.8. NLEX Road Warriors have won both head-to-head meetings this year: 114-75 on 10 Jul 2026 and 106-97 on 14 Apr 2026. Both teams have had long rest, 54 days for NLEX Road Warriors and 60 days for Macau Black Bears.

The model's team ratings are 1607 for NLEX Road Warriors and 1358 for Macau Black Bears. Macau Black Bears have only a few games behind their rating, so it is less sure. See the full pick on the NLEX vs Macau pick page and the live score on the NLEX vs Macau match page.

81%NLEX Road Warriors' win chance against Macau Black Bears

TNT Tropang 5G vs Terrafirma Dyip

TNT Tropang 5G are 4-4 in the PBA Governors' Cup, scoring 101.2 points per game and allowing 99.9. Terrafirma Dyip are 3-5, scoring 105.0 and allowing 105.8. The model gives TNT Tropang 5G a 72% win chance.

In their last 5 games, TNT Tropang 5G are 3-2 with an average margin of 5.8 points. Terrafirma Dyip are 2-3 with an average margin of -3.2. TNT Tropang 5G lead the head-to-head 2-1 in the last 3 meetings. Both teams have had 57 days of rest.

The model's team ratings are 1549 for TNT Tropang 5G and 1385 for Terrafirma Dyip. Both ratings have a fair number of games behind them. Check the full pick on the Terrafirma vs TNT pick page and the live score on the Terrafirma vs TNT match page.

All the picks together

The model's Strong picks are NLEX Road Warriors and TNT Tropang 5G. For every graded pick, see the track record and for the method, see how the model works.

Track record (shows after 30 settled picks)